I am afraid that Nigel Eccles&#8217- answer to The Numbers Guy does not go deep enough into the arguments.

The Numbers Guy (and his interviewees) made some points that Nigel does not address.

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See his Video Response.

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PS: Nigel, Seesmic is a piece of shit. The video does not go into the feeds (unlike YouTube or Blip.TV.)

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Background Info: The Numbers Guy: HubDub&#8217-s PunditWatch is not as rigorous as Philip Tetlock was.

More Info: Interview via OPMs

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Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

• The FaceBook profiles of the 2 most important men of the field of prediction markets
• THE HUMAN GADFLY WHOSE OBJECTIONS ROBIN HANSON IS DUCKING…???…
• Google now considers Midas Oracle as a major blog.
• Horizon 2015: A long-term strategic perspective for the real-money prediction markets
• Join our group at LinkedIn to have your “Prediction Markets” badge on your profile. It’s ‘chic’. (“Groups” info should be set as “visible”, in your profile options.) We are 63 this early Saturday morning —keeps growing.
• If you have been using PayPal to fund your InTrade, TradeSports or BetFair account, please, check that horror story.
• 48 hours after the launch of the “Prediction Markets” group at LinkedIn, we have already 52 members —both prediction market luminaries and simple people (trading the event derivatives or collecting the market-generated probabilities).

&#8230- says that HubDub&#8217-s PunditWatch is not as rigorous as Philip Tetlock was.

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UPDATE: Interview + Video Response

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Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

• The CFTC is going to close the comments in 9 days. We have 9 days left to convince the CFTC to accept FOR-PROFIT prediction exchanges (e.g., InTrade USA or BetFair USA), and counter the puritan and sterile petition organized by the American Enterprise Institute (which has on its payroll Paul Wolfowitz, the bright masterminder of the Iraq war).
• Forrest Nelson valids Emile Servan-Schreiber.
• Averaging One’s Guesses
• Americans love rankings, but Americans hate to be assessed subjectively.
• A libertarian view on the Internet betting and gambling industry in the United States of America
• The CFTC is going to close the comments in 10 days. We have 10 days left to convince the CFTC to accept FOR-PROFIT prediction exchanges (e.g., InTrade USA or BetFair USA), and counter the puritan and sterile petition organized by the American Enterprise Institute (which has on its payroll Paul Wolfowitz, the bright masterminder of the Iraq war).
• The CFTC Readings Of The Day —Thursday Morning Edition