Mister Kirtland:

[&#8230-] I’m going to go out on a limb here and say that the traders on InTrade may not be the most diverse group of people we could assemble. I would bet, for example, that not many people from New Hampshire – who would have more direct knowledge of the situation “on the ground” – bet on InTrade. [&#8230-]

As I already wrote here, I don&#8217-t buy the argument, but let&#8217-s put that aside.

In public prediction exchanges, traders are self selected. Nothing can be done to change that. Am I correct?

Read the previous blog posts by Chris. F. Masse:

• Davos – World Economic Forum
• CME Group = Chicago Mercantile Exchange + Chicago Board Of Trade
• Democratic and Republican caucuses in Nevada + Republican primary in South Carolina
• The BetFair blog is not a serious publication.
• MICHIGAN PRIMARY @ BETFAIR: Niall O’Connor asks the very pertinent question.
• One thing John Delaney and his Irish employees at InTrade-TradeSports can learn from the BetFair-TradeFair folks at HammerSmith.
• BetFair compound chart on the Michigan primary