Cav,
In light of Robin Hanson’-s latest blah blah blah…-
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Do you really think that a prediction market journalist (or blogger) should disclose his/her event derivative holdings (as you do systematically)?…-
Just a question that crossed my mind.
I was in favor of it before I read Hanson. Now, I have doubts…- (Hanson, be damned. )
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Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:
- POLLS VERSUS PREDICTION MARKETS: Justin Wolfers retorts to Bob Erikson.
- Based on market data from a tiny prediction exchange (IEM, which is much smaller than InTrade-TradeSports or BetFair), a couple of researchers claim that prediction markets do not have superior predictive power. — And, adding salt to injury, they call our prediction market luminaries (Robin Hanson, Justin Wolfers, etc.)… “naive”.
- Do the media avoid reporting the bad omens that is sometimes reflected in the prediction markets?
- BetFair’s brand-new bet matching logic
- Quizz Of The Day — Monday Morning Edition
- BEWARE THE BLOGGING ACADEMICS: They are not blogging to inform us —they are blogging to promote themselves.
- Did Jason Ruspini and friends cash in on huge moves in prices of oil, natural gas, coal and other parts of the energy patch, this semester?