Reuters partner with HubDub.

YOU HEARD IT ON MIDAS ORACLE FIRST. Once again, we out-scoop Freakonomics and Overcoming Whatever. – HubDub: Reuters partners with Hubdub to put a presence on the prediction market site. Reuters is pleased to announce their new presence on Hubdub, … Continue reading

2008 US Elections Prediction: John McCain is now the favorite at InTrade, while all the other prediction exchanges still have Barack Obama ahead. Is InTrade quicker to incorporate the latest polls because of the bigger liquidity of its prediction markets?

– #1. Explainer On Prediction Markets – Prediction markets produce dynamic, objective probabilistic predictions on the outcomes of future events by aggregating disparate pieces of information that traders bring when they agree on prices. Prediction markets are meta forecasting tools … Continue reading

2008 US ELECTORAL MAP PREDICTION: The 2008 US elections thru the prism of the prediction markets – 2008 US presidential and congressional elections – US President Prediction + US Congress Prediction – Barack Obama vs. John McCain

– #1. Explainer On Prediction Markets – Prediction markets produce dynamic, objective probabilistic predictions on the outcomes of future events by aggregating disparate pieces of information that traders bring when they agree on prices. Prediction markets are meta forecasting tools … Continue reading

Predictify gets the X Groups concept right.

#1. X Groups Predictify is unveiling a two-way interaction between their prediction platform and the blogs out there. FROM THE BLOGS TO PREDICTIFY: Number one, there is now a customized prediction widget that bloggers can embed in their blog posts … Continue reading

Thinking they would fight poverty and solve the 2 Americas problem, the John Edwards donors ended up giving (thru his political action committee) $114,000 to his mistress (a de facto prostitute whom he said he didnt love) on the pretext of producing 4 YouTube videos (on a mere 2 1/2 minutes long).

I want John Edwards to disappear in his own ass, and I don&#8217-t want to hear anymore about that bastard. I have updated my previous post with the relevant links &#8212-for those of you who are just surfacing from an … Continue reading

Why InTrade CEO John Delaney, TradeSports acting CEO John Delaney, BetFair CEO David Yu, HubDub CEO Nigel Eccles and NewsFutures CEO Emile Servan-Schreiber should supplicate me to develop my prediction market journalism project

– 200 web visitors (coming from Google) reached my John Edwards post, published yesterday afternoon (ET). – 10% of them followed my links to the 2 HubDub prediction markets on John Edwards. – – Remember that those web stats count … Continue reading

Google Web Search shows that I am the only blogger in the world to talk about prediction market journalism.

Good thing: I&#8217-m a pioneer (following Justin Wolfers&#8217- footsteps). Bad thing: The whole world does not give the first fig about &#8220-prediction market journalism&#8220-. We will spend much energy introducing them to this new concept. – Previous blog posts by … Continue reading

Subsidizing real-money prediction markets and real-money conditional prediction markets

Should Google subsidize the Lunar X Prize contract on InTrade? John Salvatier, Our good friend Bo Cowgill might have already re-created those prediction markets on Google&#8217-s internal prediction exchange at a marginal cost of zero US dollar. No need for … Continue reading