– – Thanks to my readers. – Thanks to InTrade, BetFair, NewsFutures, HubDub, etc. – Thanks to Robin Hanson, David Pennock, Lance Fortnow, Jason Ruspini, Mike Giberson, David Perry, Adam Siegel, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Nigel Eccles, Chris Hibbert, Panagiotis Ipeirotis, George … Continue reading
My remark to John Tierney: InTrade got it [almost] spot on because they were wrong on Missouri (which was predicted to go for Obama but went to McCain) and wrong too on Indiana (which was predicted to go for McCain … Continue reading
PollTrack: – I like the way they color this electoral college map —-with 5 colors only (simplicity is good). It is very clear and usable, I believe. You can see 6 states in gray (”-too close to call”-). I am … Continue reading
– 1. How To Join Us From within LinkedIn, FaceBook, or Google Reader / Google Mail, send me an invite and I’-ll accept it. I can introduce you to another member of our business network. Just ask me (Chris Masse), … Continue reading
Tom W. Bell – Tom Bell – Post Archive at Midas Oracle – (Post Feed) – Professor – Law (Chapman University) – Blog: Agoraphilia – California, U.S.A. Caveat Bettor [pseudonym] – Post Archive at Midas Oracle – (Post Feed) – … Continue reading
A little explainer on my previous post, as I got some feedback on it. – #1. Yes, the measure of the usefulness of an idea or theory is the number and the quality of web links it receives. – Google … Continue reading
– New York Times – Another one bites the dust: (Sorry for those who have a narrow screen and don’-t see the right part of this big chart.) – According to InTrade, here are the banks that could fail next: … Continue reading
I asked Chris Hibbert whether they are “-exchanges”-. Chris Hibbert: It looks like it from a cursory glance. In both cases, you can buy and sell, and the prices appear to be set by market interactions rather than institutional fiat. … Continue reading
– #1. Explainer On Prediction Markets – Prediction markets produce dynamic, objective probabilistic predictions on the outcomes of future events by aggregating disparate pieces of information that traders bring when they agree on prices. Prediction markets are meta forecasting tools … Continue reading
– Text of Draft Proposal + NYT explainer – Conrad Black’-s take on the financial meltdown – Takes from 3 economists – More links here. More links, again. – UPDATE: Paul Krugman says the plan does not address the real … Continue reading
