Midas Oracle is the only popular, independent, exhaustive, multi-author, multi-exchange, Web-based resource on prediction markets.

Dear Midas Oracle readers, I&#8217-m happy to report progress in building the architecture and content of our group blog, Midas Oracle. Let me introduce you to our 2 master pages: &#8220-PREDICTIONS&#8221- and &#8220-BEST&#8221-. &#8212- &#8212- #1. PREDICTIONS http://www.midasoracle.org/predictions/ = our … Continue reading

Business Overconfidence as seen thru Googles Enterprise Prediction Markets

Bo Cowgill: At OVERCOMING BIAS, Robin Hanson blogs about the overconfidence of CEOs, CFOs and software managers. Our paper also measured overconfidence in the workplace. We found that our marketplace was overconfident as a whole, although the market&#8217-s optimistic bias … Continue reading

Organizational Sociology & Googles Enterprise Prediction Markets

Graduate student Ben Spigel&#8217-s comment on Richard Florida&#8217-s blog: About a decade ago, a group of cognitive scientists looking at Bell Labs found that all things being equal, the chances of two scientists collaborating was 4 times higher if they … Continue reading

The Future of the Prediction Markets

Even a prediction market fanboy feeds on the polls &#8212-first and foremost. Steve Dubner, the journalist and co-author of Freakonomics, is, along with his two blog colleagues (Steve Levitt and Justin Wolfers), a strong supporter of the prediction markets. They … Continue reading

ROBIN HANSON TELLS THE TRUTH ON GOOGLES ENTERPRISE PREDICTION MARKETS.

Robin Hanson: Yes prediction markets are cool, Google is cool, and it is cool that Google had location data to show how location influences trading. But cool need not be useful. People are not asking the hard questions here: what … Continue reading