Category Archives: Midas Oracle Administration

Justin Wolfers should have his own Wikipedia entry.

Posted on by
Reply

No Gravatar

Any Wikipedian out there willing to start off his page?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Justin_Wolfers

–

Robin Hanson, Tyler Cowen, Steve Levitt, and even Don Luskin and Robert Scoble, have their own Wikipedia entry. Why not Wolfers???&#8230- I realized that when I updated my &#8220-acknowledgments&#8221- page:

–

Acknowledgments

–

– Friedrich August Von Hayek (an economist who introduced, among other things, the concept of the market as an information aggregation tool in The Use of Knowledge in Society, and the 1974 co-winner of the Nobel Prize in economics)-

– Professor Vernon Smith (an experimental economics pioneer, and, as such, the 2002 co-winner of the Nobel Prize in economics)-

– Professor Robin Hanson (one of the contemporary co-inventors of the prediction markets)-

– Doctor James Surowiecki (author of The Wisdom Of Crowds)-

– Professors Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz (meta analysts of the prediction markets)-

– Professor Steve Levitt (co-author of Freakonomics)-

– Professor Tyler Cowen (co-author of Marginal Revolution and author of Discover Your Inner Economist)-

– Donald Luskin (author of The Conspiracy To Keep You Poor And Stupid)-

– The GNU, Linux, WordPress, World Wide Web Consortium, Mozilla, Opera, Yahoo!, Google, Wikipedia, Creative Commons and Free Software Foundation people (among others) for freeing our information-based society.

–

More Thanks

  • The Midas Oracle Blog Authors
  • Credits

–

To the good people who have registered by themselves on Midas Oracle

Posted on by
Reply

No Gravatar

–

The combination of one too strong anti-spam plugin and one faulty registration plugin lead our database system to delete many of the brand-new accounts.

If you registered by yourself on Midas Oracle, these past weeks, you might check your status and discover that, oh horror, your existence was suppressed.

If so, renew your registration. (Please, fill in your full name.) Apologies.

–

How Can I Get In/Out Of Midas Oracle?

  • How To Join-
  • Login-
  • Lost Password?-
  • Site Administration-
  • Register-
  • Logout-
  • How To Get Removed.

–

Changes to Midas Oracle

Posted on by
Reply

No Gravatar–

–

  1. Anyone can comment &#8212-no need to be a registered member. It has been working fine. Spammers have been kept at bay by the math test. (They can&#8217-t count, apparently. :-D )
  2. Anyone can register himself/herself to become a member. A math test will deter spammers.
  3. The last part of some of my posts will be seen only by registered members &#8212-at times. You&#8217-ll be told to login or register to see the full post.
  4. I will send out an e-mail newsletter to the registered members &#8212-at times. This will be performed directly from the Midas Oracle system. Your e-mail addresses won&#8217-t be shared with an external service.

–

Meta Links:

  • How To Join-
  • Login-
  • Lost Password?-
  • Site Administration-
  • Register-
  • Logout-
  • How To Get Removed.

–

That&#8217-s what you&#8217-ll see at the top of the sidebar:

NRM

–

Once logged in, here&#8217-s what you&#8217-ll see:

RM

–

–

Read the previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

  • TechCrunch is 221 times bigger than Midas Oracle.
  • Earthquake measuring 9.0 or more on Richter scale to occur anywhere on or before December 31, 2008
  • Why Midas Oracle (and not TV news shows or print newspapers) will dominate the future.
  • The Six Degrees Of Separation
  • Alpha Thesis
  • Meet Michael Arrington of TechCrunch.
  • Hedge your taxes –and forecast them too.

Midas Oracle is incontestably [*] the best vertical portal to prediction markets.

Posted on by
Reply

No Gravatar

Jeremy:

This site has more than you need to know about futures markets and the subtle point that they don’t predict but rather capture what people think will happen. Clear?

My dual strategy is paying off.

  1. Presenting a prediction market chart associated with an explainer about prediction markets on the blog frontpage &#8212-on top of the daily posts, making the reading of this introductory material compulsory for our visitors.
  2. Publishing, again, the explainer on prediction markets on top of the page grouping the current prediction market charts. This &#8220-predictions&#8221- page has been the more popular material on Midas Oracle, these last 30 days.

–

[*] Overcoming Bias and Freakonomics are not prediction market blogs. And they didn&#8217-t take my challenge to comment on the BetFair Starting Prices.

The Best External Web Links On Prediction Markets And On Everything Else

Posted on by
9

No GravatarFolks,

I have just updated the &#8220-Links&#8221- page. Could you right-click on that link, open the link in another browser tab, scan the long list, spot what&#8217-s missing, and contact me so I can add new web links? Thanks.

There are 304 links, there. Here are the 15 categories:

– Associations
– Blogs
– Books
– Exchanges &#038- Markets
– Experts &#038- Scholars
– Forums
– Media
– Midas Oracle Network
– References
– Search Engines
– Shared Readings
– Social Favorites
– Software
– Think Tanks
– Tools

Read the previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

  • Is Justin Wolfers a libertarian? Probably not.
  • The information technology that caught Eliot Spitzer
  • Eric Zitzewitz’s 10 minutes of fame
  • Fun with conditional probabilities
  • Wrongly Crafted Headlines Of The Day
  • an American, petite, very pretty brunette, 5 feet 5 inches, and 105 pounds
  • Mississippi: Is it a primary or a caucus?

Midas Oracle is the only popular, independent, exhaustive, multi-author, multi-exchange, Web-based resource on prediction markets.

Posted on by
Reply

Dear Midas Oracle readers,

I&#8217-m happy to report progress in building the architecture and content of our group blog, Midas Oracle. Let me introduce you to our 2 master pages: &#8220-PREDICTIONS&#8221- and &#8220-BEST&#8221-.

&#8212-

&#8212-

#1. PREDICTIONS

Predictions

http://www.midasoracle.org/predictions/

= our explainer on prediction markets + the best charts of prediction markets

Following the New Hampshire brouhaha, I believe that the way to go is to systematically associate (when time and space permit) a short probability explainer to any published chart of prediction market. You can see such an association at the top of our blog frontpage. I will do that in some blog posts, too, in the future.

Political charts from InTrade and NewsFutures are published there. Charts from more exchanges will be added there over the coming weeks, months, and years. Suggestions are welcomed.

Thanks to Michael Giberson and Emile Servan-Schreiber for some tiny input in establishing that brand-new page.

&#8212-

&#8212-

#2. BEST

Best

http://www.midasoracle.org/best/

= the best external weblinks on prediction markets + the best Midas Oracle posts on prediction markets

This file has been quite popular &#8212-see the web stats report, in the appendix. I will, of course, augment this file with many more pointers, in the coming weeks, months, and years. Suggestions are welcomed.

&#8212-

&#8212-

#3. ARCHIVES

Archives

http://www.midasoracle.org/archives/

You can now search the archives of the Midas Oracle blog posts &#8212-by date, by category, by tag, by poster, etc. Bo Cowgill will now be able to dig the Midas Oracle archives to unearth all &#8220-the inaccuracies&#8221- that I have printed &#8220-over the years&#8221-. :-D Good luck for your quest, Bo.

&#8212-

&#8212-

#4. LOOKING FORWARD

Forward

More pageviews for the blog.

More coverage of the prediction markets (as opposed to coverage of the prediction market industry) &#8212-on the other two blogs (Midas Oracle .NET and Midas Oracle .COM).

More academic paper reviews.

A sense of what could be prediction market journalism (pioneered by Justin Wolfers in the Wall Street Journal).

A discussion on the usefulness of a prediction market plugin for WordPress.

And, maybe, the building of an advisory board for Midas Oracle &#8212-if that makes sense and serves a purpose.

Step one towards our ultimate goal: WORLD DOMINATION. :-D

&#8212-

&#8212-

APPENDIX

Below are pageviews of the most popular Midas Oracle webpages, since September 2006. For the posts (as opposed to the pages), to get a more complete picture, you should add the number 1,050 (estimation) to the numbers below &#8212-to account for the feed subscribers (900) and the blog frontpage readers (150), who both also consumed the posts in question.

Please note that these stats are from Google Analytics. When assessing the popularity of Midas Oracle against other websites, do use the Google Analytics numbers, and not numbers from other web stats services. (I also have server stats, whose numbers are much more impressive, but they don&#8217-t count the same things.) Thanks.

Stats

Stats2

Read the previous blog posts by Chris. F. Masse:

  • Our good doctor EJSS laughs at the “Web 2.0” concept on TechCrunch, but touts it as an essential part of the NewsFutures offerings on his website.
  • NewsFutures do *NOT* favor event derivative management by traders.
  • Who will win Super Bowl XLII? Patriots vs. Giants
  • NewsFutures presidential widget
  • Win Florida, win the nomination.
  • Barack Obama’s victory in South Carolina won’t stop the Clintons.
  • eTech 2008 — Google’s enterprise prediction markets

Can you think of another name to add in this list?

Posted on by
1

No Gravatar

Acknowledments

– Friedrich August von Hayek (an economist who introduced, among other things, the concept of the market as an information aggregation tool in The Use of Knowledge in Society, and the 1974 co-winner of the Nobel Prize in economics)-

– Professor Vernon Smith (an experimental economics pioneer, and, as such, the 2002 co-winner of the Nobel Prize in economics)-

– Professor Robin Hanson (one of the contemporary co-inventors of the prediction markets)-

– Doctor James Surowiecki (author of The Wisdom Of Crowds)-

– Professor Steve Levitt (co-author of Freakonomics)-

– Professor Tyler Cowen (co-author of Marginal Revolution and author of Discover Your Inner Economist)-

– Donald Luskin (author of The Conspiracy To Keep You Poor And Stupid)- [*]

– The W3C, Mozilla, Yahoo!, Google, Wikipedia, WordPress and Linux people (among others) for freeing our information-based society.

&#8212-

[*] Don Luskin helped me with finding a good blog name, &#8220-Midas Oracle&#8221-. :-D

MIDAS ORACLE STATEMENT ON THE PREDICTION MARKET INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION

Posted on by
6

No Gravatar

Dear Midas Oracle readers,

  1. Chris Masse will never belong to any industry association. Chris Masse is a web journalist on prediction markets and should remain independent.
  2. Midas Oracle will never belong to any industry association. Midas Oracle is a participative media on prediction markets and should remain independent.
  3. Any registered member of Midas Oracle has, of course, the constitutional right to blog here about the newly created prediction market industry association &#8212-positively or negatively.

MIDAS ORACLE .ORG has a Google PageRank of 5/10.

Posted on by
2

Via this SEO page.

Google PageRank Checker

CFM – (vertical portal to prediction markets &#8212- since December 2004) – GPR 6/10

Midas Oracle .ORG – (group blog on prediction markets &#8212- since September 2006) – GPR 5/10

Midas Oracle .NET – (group blog nobody reads and nobody wants to write on &#8211-not even Jason Ruspini, whom I asked two times.) – GPR 6/10

Midas Oracle .COM – (totally empty website &#8211-as empty as Paris Hilton&#8217-s skull) – GPR 6/10

Well, let me renew my long-term goal for Midas Oracle .ORG: GPR 7/10. It will take some years, but we will get to it, in the end.

Psstt&#8230- Odd Head and Overcoming Whatever are at 6/10.

Read the last blog posts by Chris Masse:

CALL TO ALL PREDICTION MARKET SCHOLARS

Posted on by
Reply

THE MIDAS ORACLE READERS WOULD BE HIGHLY INTERESTED IN ANY BLOG POST POINTING TO ANY BRAND-NEW PREDICTION MARKET PAPER.

Feel free to write any blog post linking to a brand-new paper. No need to write a novel-long text &#8212-5 sentences and a link is more than enough. Takes less than 5 minutes to write a short blog post, and you will be seen by millions (if not billions) of prediction market-thirsty readers.

Thanks. Appreciated. Will make up to you.

Psstt&#8230- If you are an old schmuck, have lost your Midas Oracle .ORG login or password, or don&#8217-t have the first clue about how to blog, contact me privately and I&#8217-ll help you.

Psstt&#8230- There are some decerebrated idiots (like John &#8220-phoney&#8221- Baloney and some of the rascals who give him 2,500 bucks per speaker seat) who criticize me behind my back as being too focused on some areas and not others. MIDAS ORACLE .ORG is actually a user-created publication, so if somebody thinks that one sub-field is not covered, it&#8217-s up to him/her to write something on it. I have only ten fingers- I&#8217-m doing all I can. I have empowered 90 blog authors, in all &#8212-the workload should be shared among many shoulders, not just mine. The champ des possibles has been defined quite broadly &#8212-we are about prediction markets, but we are interested in all peripheral matters, and God knows it&#8217-s quite a huge understatement. As I said, every aspect of life could be turned into an event derivative, and the prediction markets can excite our curiosity on science, technology, technology business, geo-political matters, economic and finance stuff, legal news, major sports events, etc.

The e-mail interview with Ken Kittlitz is being downloaded like crazy &#8212-we will repeat the operation with other consenting victims. With always the same purpose in mind: getting to the truth, real quick. Which means pissing off two or three decerebrated idiots in the process &#8212-I take it as a badge of honor.

&#8212-

one-trick pony

Read the last blog posts by Chris Masse: