Oscars 2010 Post-Mortem – InTrade Prediction Markets Posted on March 8, 2010 by admin Professor Mark Perry is wrong to yell victory. Evaluating probabilistic predictions is tougher than one thinks.Source: InTrade Related PostsWhat the Cantor Exchange (HSX) and the Media Derivatives Exchange (MDEX) really said to the US Congress about movie futures (a.k.a. box-office derivatives) – [VIDEO]OSCARS 2010: Did Justin Wolfers brag too much and too loudly? – [RELATIVE ACCURACY DEPARTMENT]Max Keiser: Cantor Exchange and Media Derivatives Exchange would be an insiders/traderss paradise.