Polls versus Prediction Markets – Lance Fortnow Edition Posted on September 3, 2008 by admin –Prices as Probabilities in Election Markets – 2007 presentation by Lance FortnowDiscussion continues here…-.UPDATE: Follow up here. Related PostsState Polls versus Electoral College Prediction MarketsIs InTrade being manipulated? Why does InTrade give a discounted probability for Barack Obama as US president?The question that might well embarass David Pennock and Lance Fortnow
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