Via our good friend Mike Linksvayer: —- Implied Prices for Presidential Decision-Aid Markets —- Implied Prices for Presidential Decision-Aid Markets
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My good Doctor Robin Hanson,
Please, refresh my memory:
– Are your experimental, conditional prediction markets offered by the Iowa Electronic Markets or by InTrade Ireland?
Additional question for our Master Of All Universes:
– Who has done more for web-hosting experimental prediction markets, overall: the Iowa Electronic Markets or InTrade Ireland?
Thanks for providing me with some answer(s) on those 2 important questions.
Best Regards,
Signed: Chris “-GadFly”- Masse
PostScriptum: When the CFTC refreshes its webpage that indexes the comments to its concept release on “-event markets”-, you will see that that issue has been raised by some “-gadfly”-.
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Those are the two most important prediction market links in the world, and they’re almost completely unknown.
Intrade ought to be highlighting implied prices and implied predicted results in their interface.