Our prediction markets have not had a very respectable accuracy on anything related to our main competitor. Posted on August 5, 2008 by admin You’-d be very naive to think that that would work.Prediction markets fed on primary indicators —-and, in this case, there aren’-t any.– Related PostsPrediction markets on stock prices are not the panacea.Barack Obama + Joe Biden – THE PREDICTION MARKETS NAILED IT… triple alas (for my reputation as a world-wide prediction market pundit, and for the debate on the different quality of the various primary indicators out there).Prof Michael Giberson still into prediction market manipulation